Washington Watch

NOIA

Deepwater Projects Can Be Engineered, Permitting Uncertainty Cannot

The offshore industry can drill miles beneath the seafloor, operate in thousands of feet of water, and engineer projects built to perform for decades in harsh environments. Yet one risk remains stubbornly difficult to manage: not knowing when the federal government will make a decision.
That uncertainty has become a project risk of its own. A new bipartisan permitting reform agreement in the Senate offers Congress an opportunity to finally address it.

By Erik Milito, President, National Ocean Industries Association

©Cavan / Adobe Stock
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Major offshore projects require enormous amounts of capital and years of work before production begins. Engineering, procurement, fabrication, vessel scheduling, and workforce planning all depend on decisions made well in advance. When federal reviews have no reliable endpoint, the effects reach far beyond the permitting office.

The ultimate goal of the federal permitting system is the same for any type of project: a predictable and durable process that provides the certainty for investment for the long term. Reviews should be rigorous, but they also need clear timelines, coordination among agencies, and decisions that project developers can rely on. When those elements are missing, uncertainty compounds across the life of a project.

That is why the bipartisan agreement reached by Senators Shelley Moore Capito, Sheldon Whitehouse, Mike Lee, and Martin Heinrich is significant. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act addresses the National Environmental Policy Act, Clean Water Act, Endangered Species Act, judicial review and project certainty, along with provisions bolstering offshore energy.

For the offshore industry, three parts of that broader effort are particularly important: clearer timelines, more predictable judicial review, and greater durability for permits once they are issued.

Clearer Timelines and Predictable Judicial Review

Start with time. Permitting certainty does not mean guaranteeing approval. It means having a clear process, reasonable timelines, and confidence that the government will reach a decision. The Senate proposal would provide firmer deadlines for federal reviews and agency decisions while improving coordination among the agencies involved.

That matters because time is not an abstract concept for a project developer. Delays affect engineering schedules, contracts, equipment orders, vessel availability, and capital allocation. They ripple through the companies and workers preparing to build a project. And in globally competitive markets, capital that cannot be put to work in the United States may simply flow elsewhere.

Judicial review is another important piece of the equation. Legal challenges are an essential part of our system, but litigation should not create an indefinite second permitting process after agencies have completed their work.

The Senate agreement would establish a 150-day window for many challenges and generally favor sending deficient agency decisions back for correction rather than automatically canceling an existing authorization. A court should be able to require an agency to fix an error without unnecessarily bringing an entire project to a halt.

Permit Durability Is Essential for Long-Term Offshore Investment

©Cavan / Adobe Stock

Perhaps most important is permit durability.

Once a company has completed the federal review process, received an authorization, and committed capital, it needs to be able to rely on that decision. The Senate proposal would restrict agencies from rescinding, suspending, or materially altering certain permits except under specifically defined circumstances. That is especially important for offshore investment because projects are measured in years and decades, not months.

A lease acquired today may lead to seismic work, exploration, engineering, and development decisions over many years before first production. Whether oil and gas, offshore wind, or another emerging offshore technology, these projects require significant upfront investment long before they begin generating revenue.

Companies can model geological risk. They can mitigate around weather, commodity prices, equipment availability, and construction schedules. They can engineer systems for extreme pressures and harsh offshore environments. What they cannot efficiently plan around is an undefined government timeline or an authorization that may not remain reliable after it has been issued.

And this challenge extends well beyond offshore energy.

The United States is asking its industrial base to build more. Electricity demand is growing. Data centers and artificial intelligence are adding new load. Policymakers want more domestic manufacturing, stronger supply chains, roads and bridges, additional energy infrastructure, and greater production of strategically important resources.

Every one of those ambitions eventually encounters the same practical question: Can we permit and build what we say we need? The offshore sector provides a useful test.

The United States has extraordinary offshore resources and one of the most sophisticated offshore supply chains in the world. American companies have spent decades developing the engineering expertise, technologies, and workforce capable of safely operating in increasingly challenging environments. Federal policy should allow that capability to translate into projects.

The Senate agreement will not resolve every permitting challenge, and implementation will matter. Many provisions would still require agency procedures, rulemakings, and other federal action before their full effect is known. Substantive requirements of environmental laws will continue for project developers.

What project developers need is much simpler: a process with a beginning, an end, and a decision that means something once it is made.

The offshore industry will continue solving complex technical problems to produce the energy that fuels society and raises our quality of life. That is what engineers, operators, and the offshore supply chain do every day. Congress has an opportunity to solve a different kind of problem by creating clearer timelines, more predictable reviews, and durable decisions. For an industry built around managing risk and planning years ahead, that kind of certainty matters. Let’s get back to building things in America. Let’s get permitting reform across the finish line.

About the Author

Erik Milito

Erik Milito is the president of the National Ocean Industries Association (NOIA), representing the interests of the offshore oil, gas, wind, carbon capture, and ocean mineral industries.

Erik Milito
September - October 2026
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